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The Psychology of Financial Windfalls: How Unexpected Money Influences Spending Behavior

06/30/2025

Key Takeaways

Windfalls often lead to increased spending as people view them as unearned, making it easier to splurge rather than save.

Mental framing matters: Calling unexpected money a “bonus” leads to more spending than calling it a “rebate.”

Treating windfalls like earned income can help promote wiser financial decisions.

Maybe it was a $20 bill you found on the subway platform or sidewalk. Maybe it was a surprise bonus at work. Or perhaps it was money inherited from a relative. Whichever the case, maybe you’ve been one of the lucky ones who’ve come into a windfall of money, small or large.

If you’re reading this and thinking, “Fat chance, that’s not me!” wait just a minute. Chances are that even if you haven’t yet experienced such a windfall of money, you most likely will at some point. It could be as mundane as a tax refund higher than you expected or a government stimulus check.

However, the question isn’t, “How can I predict when I’ll get a windfall of money?” (Though I’d love to be able to answer that!) Instead, we should ask, “How should we treat such windfalls? Should they be spent in a 'treat yo’self' splurge? Socked away in an investment account to be used for the future? Or a little of column A and a little of column B?”

Windfall Spending: Insights from Experiments and Real-World Scenarios

Before attempting to answer, let’s talk about what people actually do with windfalls. Almost thirty years ago, Hal Arkes, a psychology professor at the Ohio State University, and his colleagues decided to find out. Academic articles are rarely known for their compelling narratives, but Arkes’s paper is an exception, and he opens with a good tale.

As the story goes, a publishing house planned its annual meeting at a hotel in the Bahamas. Shortly before the convention started, a university decided to buy one of the publisher’s texts. It was a big sale, but no single salesperson could take credit (and thus lay claim to the bonus associated with such a catch). So, the publisher decided to get creative and split the bonus across the marketing department: each was greeted with $50 when they arrived at the hotel.

Nearby was a casino. One of the salespeople, Nancy, spent the whole of her $50 on gambling, as did many of her co-workers. But she later regretted her decision: “If I hadn’t been given the $50, there’s no way I would have spent a dime at the casino. There are a million things I could have used that money for. Why did I waste it?”1

That, of course, is just one anecdote. But across several experiments, Arkes and his collaborators found that many folks tend to spend rather than save when blessed with a financial windfall.

In one study, for instance, a group of research participants had been told in advance that they’d receive $5 for participating in a study. Another group, however, only learned about the $5 payment by surprise, upon arriving at the lab.

Both groups were given their five bucks and then sent to see a college basketball game. When they were asked afterward how much of their $5 they had spent at the game, the folks who had received the money by surprise — those for whom the money was a windfall — spent about twice as much of it compared to those who had tagged the money as planned earnings.

This finding extends beyond carefully controlled laboratory contexts and into the real world. When grocery store shoppers used $10 coupons in their shopping, for example, they spent about $1.59 more than when shopping without such coupons. Sure, that’s small potatoes. But it’s not as if they stocked up on essentials they could use in the future. On the contrary, shoppers were considerably more likely to spend their small windfalls on items they typically didn’t purchase.2

So why would the marketing staff of a publishing house, research subjects at a basketball game and grocery shoppers armed with coupons all spend their small windfalls (and sometimes on otherwise regrettable purchases), rather than use them in more prudent ways?

Windfalls vs. Earned Income: The Impact on Financial Choices

To some extent, such patterns may be due to the simple fact that windfalls feel like unearned money. Consider how we treat the income received through our paychecks. That money is valuable. After all, you worked hard to earn it, and it could feel, psychologically speaking, like a loss if we were to spend it mindlessly.

A windfall, by contrast, is unearned and unexpected. In that way, even though $10 earned has the same spending power as $10 unearned, money from a windfall may be seen as less valuable. It’s easier not to ‘count’ that money as part of our earnings, and thus, easier to spend it.

In a series of research studies, Nick Epley, a professor of behavioral science at the University of Chicago’s Booth School of Business, tackled this explanation head-on. He and his colleagues sent undergraduate research participants a $50 check that presumably came from a faculty member’s research budget.

The researchers described the money as a “tuition rebate” for half of the participants and “bonus income” for the other half. When later asked how much of their $50 they had spent, students who had received a “bonus” spent significantly more of their money than those who had received a “rebate.” Almost three-quarters of those with rebates spent none of their money; only 36% of those with bonuses could say the same.3

Think about what’s happening here: A rebate, just like earned income, feels like money owed to us, and we normally put it right into our metaphorical pockets. A bonus, on the other hand — well, that’s just like a windfall. Rather than feeling like it’s money that’s owed to us, it takes on more of the flavor of house money — money that isn’t ours and can be spent freely. As Epley wrote in an op-ed, rebates “send us on trips to the bank. Bonuses send us on trips to the Bahamas.”4

Here’s an interesting extension of this work. Recent research has found that the effort people put into earning money impacts what they decide to do with it.5 People who worked harder for their income, what researchers call “more effortful earning,” feel a greater sense of ownership over their money, and thus more of a sense of not wanting to lose that money, resulting in lower risk tolerance.

Easy money, in other words, may feel like a windfall. However, money that feels like it was earned in a difficult way might feel more like “earnings.”

What’s the takeaway? Money is money. If you’re short on your budget for an upcoming vacation and happen to come into a small windfall, then use it for the trip! But if you find yourself coming up short for necessary expenses, it may be wise to consider using a new windfall in more pragmatic ways — whether it’s a tax refund, small inheritance or $20 bill found on the sidewalk.

Authors
Hal Hershfield
Hal Hershfield, Ph.D.

Consultant to Avantis Investors®

Explore More Insights

1

Hal R. Arkes, Cynthia A. Joyner, and Mark V. Pezzo, et al., “The Psychology of Windfall Gains,” Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes 59, No. 3 (September 1994): 331-347.

2

Katherine L. Milkman and John Beshears, “Mental Accounting and Small Windfalls: Evidence from an Online Grocer,” Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization 71, No. 2 (August 2009): 384-394.

3

Nicholas Epley, Dennis Mak, and Lorraine Chen Idson, “Bonus or Rebate?: The Impact of Income Framing on Spending and Saving,” Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 19, No. 3 (July 2006): 213-227.

4

Nicolas Epley, “Rebate Psychology,” The New York Times, January 31, 2008.

5

Christopher J. Belcher, Samina Lutfeali, Szu-chi Huang, and Joshua I. Morris, “Working Hard for Money Decreases Risk Tolerance,” Journal of Consumer Psychology 34, No. 1 (June 2023): 110-118.

The opinions expressed are not necessarily those of Avantis Investors®. This information is for educational purposes only and is not intended as investment advice.

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